If you take a look at the memo that the Austin American-Statesman scrounged out of John Cornyn's U.S. Senate reelection campaign, you'll find the pollsters there think the presidential race in Texas has a 23-point spread.

Contrast that result — John McCain, 55 percent, Barack Obama, 32 percent — with the results of a recent Rasmussen poll that had the Republican at 52 and the Democrat nine points behind. That earlier poll had Cornyn seven points ahead of Democrat Rick Noriega, a result that — according to the Cornyn camp — is statistically impossible unless your poll sample has too many Democrats to represent the actual population in Texas. By Cornyn's count, which was included in a memo that somehow got left out where the media could find it (we are shocked, really), he's at 50 percent and Noriega's at 32 percent. Real numbers will be available in less than a month.